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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Crown Green Handicap

Chris Smith

Team: St.Mary's BDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

693

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

21

Matches Played

2

Wins

19

Losses

10%

Win Rate

4.5

Avg Win Margin

10.7

Avg Loss Margin

2-9

Home Record

0-10

Away Record

50%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
21 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/4/2026

Only 21 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Boosted by the Division 1 confidence floor rule.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 21 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

20 May23 Jul26 Aug7 Apr2 Jun8 Jul4 Aug-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
10%
score-0.81→contribution-0.32
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
4.5
score-0.58→contribution-0.15
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.7
score-0.45→contribution-0.07
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
10%
score-0.80→contribution-0.08
Opponent Strength(10%)
828
score-1.00→contribution-0.10
Weighted Score-0.717
Sample Size Confidence
50%(21/41 matches) · floored
Rating785 → shrunk 893→ adjusted 693
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)693
Recency Blend28% (21 recent matches)
Final Rating693
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

2W19L21 matches·9.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
St Mary's (Billinge) B2025Division 2110110%
St.Mary's B2026Division 2102820%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/4/2026A GradyA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
7/28/2026Chris MillsH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
7/21/2026Mike MulcrowA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
7/8/2026Lee BolanH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
7/7/2026Jimmy NolanA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 2
6/16/2026Ryan TeelingH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
6/2/2026Stephen HolroydA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
5/26/2026A PickervanceH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
5/12/2026Neil JacksonH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
4/7/2026Howard PinningtonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
9/10/2025Chris O'RourkeA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
9/2/2025Steven LeaH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2025Ron PickavanceA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 2
8/12/2025Jim RennisonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
7/29/2025Roy PealingH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
7/23/2025Tony HartH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
7/15/2025David SuttonH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
6/10/2025Andrew WoodwardH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
5/20/2025Tony GordonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
5/6/2025Graham ParrA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 2
4/22/2025Danny EustaceA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

12

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LWLLL
Last 1020% win rate— steady
LWLLLLLLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
A Grady0110%8/4/2026
Chris Mills101100%7/28/2026
Mike Mulcrow0110%7/21/2026
Lee Bolan0110%7/8/2026
Jimmy Nolan0110%7/7/2026
Ryan Teeling0110%6/16/2026
Stephen Holroyd0110%6/2/2026
A Pickervance0110%5/26/2026
Neil Jackson101100%5/12/2026
Howard Pinnington0110%4/7/2026
Biggest Win
Chris Mills (+7)7/28/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Graham Parr (-19)5/6/2025
Best Season
202620% · 10 matches
Worst Season
20250% · 11 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
0% → 18%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
82821 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-1810% win rate
Division 29.5%
2W·19L·21 played

Debut

Apr 22, 2025

Latest

Aug 4, 2026

Seasons Active

2 (1.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

10.5 (21 total)

Seasons

20252026